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Friday, January 28, 2022

FOMC dan High Volatility

FOMC dan High Volatility

Pasaran kini jangkakan kenaikan interest rates sebanyak 5 kali sepanjang tahun ini.

Malah kemungkinan atau probability kenaikan sebanyak 50 basis points pada March nanti juga meningkat.

Jangkaan pasaran mungkin terlebih hawkish sekarang ini dan mungkin boleh berubah lagi.

Perbezaan pendapat ini menjadikan pasaran sangat volatile kerika ini.

Untuk traders, ada yang sukakan volatility seperti ini tetapi beringatlah, bila ombak terlalu kuat dan bergelora, pemenang pingat emas renang olimpik pun boleh mati lemas.

Thursday, August 19, 2021

“Don’t be afraid to give up the good to go for the great.”


Assalamualaikum... salam pagi khamis! 

Quote of the Day 
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Wednesday, August 18, 2021

"WHEN YOU'RE ABOUT TO QUIT, REMEMBER WHY YOU STARTED"


"WHEN YOU'RE ABOUT TO QUIT, REMEMBER WHY YOU STARTED"

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Monday, August 16, 2021

16.08.2021 MARKET WRAP: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

 

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                            MARKET WRAP: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

On Friday, both the Dow Jones Industrial Average (closing at 35,515) and the S&P 500 (4,468) edged up to record closes again. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 added 47.7 points (+0.32%) to 15,136.

The food & beverage, pharmaceutical & biotechnology, and semiconductor sectors gained the most, while the energy, banks and automobiles sectors were under pressure. Ebay (EBAY) jumped 7.45%, and Pzifer (PFE) rose 2.62%, and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) gained 3.80%. On the other hand, Baidu (BIDU) dropped 4.50%, HP (HPQ) slid 4.57%, and Diamondback Energy (FANG) was down 4.70%.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury Yield dropped 7.7 basis points to 1.282%.

Regarding U.S. economic data, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index posted at 70.2 for August (vs 81.2 expected), a 10-year low. Import prices grew 0.3% on month in July (vs +0.6% expected).

At the weekend, Hyatt Hotels (H) announced the acquisition of resort firm Apple Leisure Group for $2.7 billion in cash.

European stocks closed higher. The DAX 30 gained 0.25%, the CAC 40 rose 0.20%, and the FTSE 100 was up 0.35%.

U.S. WTI crude futures declined $1.16 to $67.93 a barrel.

Gold price climbed $25 to $1,778 an ounce.
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  MARKET WRAP: Forex
 
The U.S. dollar consolidated some recent gains, as the dollar index declined 0.5% to 92.51.

EUR/USD jumped 65 pips to 1.1795. Germany's economy ministry pointed out that there is no sign of a wage-price spiral that could lead to permanently high inflation.

GBP/USD rose 61 pips to 1.3869, and AUD/USD climbed 38 pips to 0.7373.

USD/JPY fell 83 pips to 109.58. This morning, official data showed that Japan's gross domestic product expanded at an annualized rate of 1.3% on quarter in the second quarter, compared to a growth of 0.5% expected and a reduction of 3.7% in the first quarter.

USD/CHF slid 80 pips to 0.9153, while USD/CAD eased 6 pips to 1.2520.

Over the weekend, Bitcoin managed to stay above $47,000, and Ether was above $3,300.
Download MFM Securities MetaTrader plugin for Trading Central
    EUR/USD Intraday: further advance.
Pivot: 1.1765
Our preference: Long positions above 1.1765 with targets at 1.1810 & 1.1830 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.1765 look for further downside with 1.1750 & 1.1730 as targets.
Comment: The RSI advocates for further upside.
 

 
Trade Now
AUD/USD Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
 
Pivot: 0.7345
Our preference: Long positions above 0.7345 with targets at 0.7385 & 0.7400 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 0.7345 look for further downside with 0.7330 & 0.7315 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is mixed with a bullish bias.

 
Trade Now

Friday, August 13, 2021

13.08.2021 MARKET WRAP: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

 

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                            MARKET WRAP: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

On Thursday, both the Dow Jones Industrial Average (at 35,499) and the S&P 500 (at 4,460) edged up to record closes again. And the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 rose 61.22 points (+0.41%) to 15,088.

U.S. official data showed that the latest number of initial jobless claims declined slightly to 375,000 (as expected), showing the continuous improvement in the labor market. Meanwhile, producer prices rose 1.0% (vs +0.6% expected) and 7.8% on year (vs +7.2% expected) in July.

The technology hardware, automobiles and pharmaceutical & biotechnology sectors gained the most, while the semiconductor, energy and consumer durables & apparel sectors showed losses. Palantir Technologies (PLTR) surged 11.36% on strong results. Tesla (TSLA) rose 2.0%, and Apple (AAPL) gained 2.1%.

On the other hand, Micron Technology (MU) slid 6.37% after it was downgraded by Morgan Stanley to "equal-weight".

The U.S. 10-year Treasury Yield gained 2.9 basis points to 1.359%.

European stocks closed mixed. The DAX 30 rose 0.70%, and the CAC 40 gained 0.36%, while the FTSE 100 slid 0.37%.

U.S. WTI crude futures decreased $0.28 to $68.97 a barrel.

Gold price edged up $1 to $1,753 an ounce.
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  MARKET WRAP: Forex
 
The U.S. dollar index was relatively stable at 92.99.

EUR/USD dipped 4 pips to 1.1735. Official data showed that the eurozone's industrial production declined 0.3% on month in June (vs -0.2% expected).

GBP/USD slid 62 pips to 1.3806. U.K. official data showed that the second-quarter gross domestic production increased by 4.8% on quarter (as expected). Industrial production declined 0.7% on month in June (vs +0.3% expected).

AUD/USD fell 37 pips to 0.7337.

USD/JPY was flat at 110.44.

USD/CHF added 15 pips to 0.9234, and USD/CAD gained 18 pips to 1.2522.

Bitcoin dropped 2.5% to $44,400, and Ether lost 3.7% to $3,050.
Download MFM Securities MetaTrader plugin for Trading Central
    EUR/USD Intraday: capped by a negative trend line.
 
Pivot: 1.1745
Our preference: Short positions below 1.1745 with targets at 1.1720 & 1.1705 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.1745 look for further upside with 1.1760 & 1.1775 as targets.
Comment: The upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 1.1745.
 

 
Trade Now
AUD/USD Intraday: choppy.
Pivot: 0.7360
Our preference: Short positions below 0.7360 with targets at 0.7315 & 0.7300 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.7360 look for further upside with 0.7375 & 0.7390 as targets.
Comment: As long as 0.7360 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.