16.07.2021 MARKET WRAP: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

 

Trade Now   MARKET WRAP: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities   On Thursday, U.S. stocks closed mixed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 53 points to 34,987, while the S&P 500 declined 14 points to 4,360, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 was down 105 points to 14,794. Shares in the utilities, household & personal products, and banks sectors gained the most, while shares in the semiconductors, energy and automobiles sectors were under pressure. American International Group (AIG) rose 3.6%, US Bancorp (USB) gained 3.2%, and Best Buy (BBY) was up 1.9%. Meanwhile, Teleflex (TFX) plunged 9.8% and NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) slid 4.4%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield dropped 4.7 basis points to 1.299%. Regarding U.S. economic data, the latest initial jobless claims amounted to 360,000 (vs 350,000 expected). Industrial production grew 0.4% on month in June (vs +0.6% expected). The Empire State manufacturing survey posted at 43.0 for July (vs 18.0 expected). European stocks closed lower. Both Germany's DAX 30 and France's CAC 40 fell 1.0%, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 lost 1.1%. U.S. WTI crude futures dropped $1.6 to $71.49 a barrel. Gold price added $2 to $1,829 an ounce. Trade Now   MARKET WRAP: Forex      The U.S. dollar strengthened against other major currencies. The ICE dollar index advanced to 92.58. EUR/USD dropped 26 pips to 1.1811. GBP/USD declined 37 pips to 1.3823. U.K. official data showed that the latest jobless rate rose to 4.8% from 4.7% previously. AUD/USD slid 61 pips to 0.7420. Official data showed that Australia's employment increased 29,100 in June (vs +20,000 expected), and the jobless rate fell to 4.9% (vs 5.1% expected). USD/JPY fell 14 pips to 109.83. Japan's central bank is expected to hold its key interest rate unchanged at -0.100%. USD/CHF rose 25 pips to 0.9178, and USD/CAD jumped 89 pips to 1.2598. Bitcoin dropped 3.6% to $31,600, and Ether fell 3.4% to $1,920. Download MFM Securities MetaTrader plugin for Trading Central Gold Intraday : supported by a rising trend line   Pivot: 1823.00 Our preference: Long positions above 1823.00 with targets at 1837.00 & 1843.00 in extension. Alternative scenario: Below 1823.00 look for further downside with 1817.00 & 1811.00 as targets. Comment: The RSI advocates for further advance.   Trade Now        GBP/USD Intraday : choppy   Pivot: 1.3850 Our preference: Short positions below 1.3850 with targets at 1.3800 & 1.3780 in extension. Alternative scenario: Above 1.3850 look for further upside with 1.3870 & 1.3890 as targets. Comment: As long as 1.3850 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.   Trade Now     EUR/USD Intraday : the downside prevails   Pivot: 1.1830 Our preference: Short positions below 1.1830 with targets at 1.1790 & 1.1770 in extension. Alternative scenario: Above 1.1830 look for further upside with 1.1850 & 1.1865 as targets. Comment: The RSI advocates for further decline.   Trade Now     GBP/JPY intraday : rebound towards 152.69 *Our pivot point stands at 151.43*   Our preference: Rebound towards 152.69. Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 151.43 would call for 150.96 and 150.67. Comment: The RSI is below 50. The MACD is negative and above its signal line. The configuration is mixed. Moreover, the price stands below its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 151.96 and 152.07). Trade Now       USD/CAD Intraday: further upside   Pivot: 1.2550 Our preference: Long positions above 1.2550 with targets at 1.2630 & 1.2660 in extension. Alternative scenario: Below 1.2550 look for further downside with 1.2525 & 1.2500 as targets. Comment: The RSI is bullish and calls for further advance. Trade Now        GBP/AUD intraday : as long as 1.8584 is support look for 1.8685 *1.8584 is our pivot point*   Our preference: As long as 1.8584 is support look for 1.8685. Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1.8584 would call for 1.8549 and 1.8529. Comment: The RSI is above 50. The MACD is below its signal line and positive. The pair could retrace. Moreover, the price is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1.8620 and 1.8564).   Trade Now        EUR/JPY Intraday : the downside prevails.   Pivot: 130.00 Our preference: Short positions below 130.00 with targets at 129.40 & 129.20 in extension. Alternative scenario: Above 130.00 look for further upside with 130.20 & 130.40 as targets. Comment: The RSI lacks upward momentum.   Trade Now           AUD/USD Intraday: target 0.7380   Pivot: 0.7450 Our preference: Short positions below 0.7450 with targets at 0.7405 & 0.7380 in extension. Alternative scenario: Above 0.7450 look for further upside with 0.7470 & 0.7490 as targets. Comment: As long as the resistance at 0.7450 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 0.7405 remains high.   Trade Now