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Wednesday, August 11, 2021

11.08.2021 MARKET WRAP: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

 

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MARKET WRAP: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities
 
On Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 162.82 points (+0.46%) to a record close of 35,264, and the S&P 500 rose 4.4 points (+0.1%) to 4,436, also a record high. However, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 retreated 79.53 points (-0.53%) to 15,053.

Investors were encouraged by the Senate's passage of a $1 trillion infrastructure bill.

The food & staples retailing, energy, materials and industrial sectors gained the most, while the semiconductors, real estate and software sectors were under pressure. Sysco (SYY) gained 6.52%, Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) rose 4.7%, and Caterpillar (CAT) was up 2.48%. On the other hand, Micron Technology (MU) lost 5.36% and Moderna (MRNA) slid 5.72%.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury Yield increased 2.4 basis points to 1.347%.

European stocks closed in positive territory. The DAX 30 increased 0.16%, the FTSE 100 rose 0.4%, and the CAC 40 was up 0.10%.

U.S. WTI crude futures rebounded $1.94 to $68.42 a barrel.

Gold price remained subdued at $1,728 an ounce.

 
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MARKET WRAP: Forex
 
The U.S. dollar was still firm against other major currencies. The dollar index crossed above 93.00.

EUR/USD fell 19 pips to 1.1718. Germany's ZEW current situation index posted at 29.3 for August (vs 30.0 expected) and expectation index 40.4 (vs 55.0 expected).

GBP/USD eased a further 8 pips to 1.3839, while AUD/USD added 14 pips to 0.7347.

USD/JPY jumped 30 pips to 110.59.

USD/CHF jumped 29 pips to 0.923, while USD/CAD declined 52 pips to 1.2525.

Bitcoin traded 1% lower to levels below $46,000, while Ether held at levels around $3,150.

 
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    EUR/USD Intraday:  the downside prevails.
 
Pivot:
1.1740

Our preference:

Short positions below 1.1740 with targets at 1.1705 & 1.1690 in extension.

Alternative scenario:
Above 1.1740 look for further upside with 1.1755 & 1.1770 as targets.  

Comment:
As long as 1.1740 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
 

 
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GBP/USD Intraday:  capped by a negative trend line.
 
Pivot:
1.3860

Our preference:

Short positions below 1.3860 with targets at 1.3820 & 1.3800 in extension.

Alternative scenario:

Above 1.3860 look for further upside with 1.3880 & 1.3900 as targets.

Comment:
The RSI advocates for further decline.
 

 
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